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Thank you, Kirkland & Ellis, for your insightful analysis on earn-outs! Bottom line:  Earn-outs are growing, and so is litigation – so focus on cash at close. 

Here are a few highlights:

  • Earn-outs are included in 37% of deals <$100M deal size
    • Earn-outs are more prevalent than pre-COVID and are growing YoY
  • The average earn-out size as a % of purchase price for sub-$50M deals is 47% (and it’s 31% for deals between $50-100M)
    • This is higher than pre-COVID and is slowly trending upwards
  • EBITDA triggers are the most common (34% of earn-outs)
    • Other common triggers are revenue (20%) and “other” (27%) which includes ARR, margins, contract renewal, employee retention, etc.
  • Only 21% of earn-outs paid out the maximum amount and overall, only 60% of earn-outs paid out partially or in-full
    • Sellers contested 30% of earn-out payments, but only won 20% of those cases

Live in the PNW and have questions?  Feel free to reach out to either of the Co-Founders: Ed Kirk or John O’Dore.

Link: The Bring Down Market Update